The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) says that Jamaica and much of the Caribbean is expected to have more rainfall than usual in the next two months of the dry season.

Dry season in the Caribbean takes place between December and March and is associated with periods of minimal rainfall.

But in the latest news letter, CariCOF said that “with the likely exception of The Bahamas, Cayman Islands and Cuba, the core of the dry season is forecast to be somewhat less intense than usual, with a few more wet days and wet spells than usual.”

Additionally, there is a slight potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards in most areas in March.

The projected change in the Climate comes after a period of moderate and short-term drought that developed in Cuba, and eastern and southern Jamaica as of January 1, 2023. Moderate long-term drought also developed in Cuba, eastern and southern Jamaica, and northern Suriname.

When the dry season comes to an end in March, it is being projected that some areas will still experience a period of drought.

Long-term drought is expected  to evolve in Central and Eastern Cuba at the end of May. Additionally, there is the possibility that a drought will develop or continue in western Cuba, the Dominican Republic, and St. Vincent.