Weather slueths at the US-based National Hurricane Center (NHC) are on alert as an area of low-pressue has formed off the Georgia-South Carolina coast on Sunday (June 27).
The NHC, in 2:00 pm Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) bulletin, said the system is positioned in very favourable conditions and has a ‘medium’, 50 per cent chance to further strengthen in the next two to five days.
Meteorologists at the NHC expect the low-pressure to reach the even-warmer waters of the Gulf of Mexico on Monday and continue to become better organised.
“Surface pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and thunderstorms have recently become better organised. Some additional development of this system will be possible later today, and especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form before the system makes landfall along the southern US coast,” the agency explained.
Projections are still early, however, the hurricane watchdog noted that the low-pressure system is currently moving westward.
The NHC anticipates that the disturbance will eventually track west-northwestward at about 24 kilometres/hour tomorrow, reaching the coast of the southeastern United States by late Monday.
According to the NHC, an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary.
Elsewhere across the Atlantic basin, the NHC is also eyeing an area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located more than 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
In its advisory, the agency said that the system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Additionally, little, if any development of disturbance is expected for the next couple of days, followed by some gradual development by Wednesday. The subsequent strengthening should continue through the end of the week while the system moves west to west-northwesterly at about 32 kilometres/hour.
Formation chances are currently low, at 20 and 30 per cent over the next two and five days respectively.
The next two names available from the 2021 hurricane list are Danny and Elsa.
Should the NHC’s forecast hold true, it would be the first time in 53 years (since 1968) that three storms are named in the first month of the hurricane season. Tropical storms Bill and Claudette both formed and fizzled earlier in June.
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