The Bermuda Weather Service has activated a tropical storm warning for the entirety of the island ahead of a glancing brush from Hurricane Earl, which continues to gather momentum in the tropical Atlantic today (September 7).

In its latest bulletin, the US-based National Hurricane Center (NHC) situated the centre of Earl near latitude 25.3 North and longitude 65.9 West—or roughly 785 kilometres south of Bermuda.

Additionally, NHC satellite observations note that Hurricane Earl is moving north at nine kilometres/hour and packs maximum sustained winds of 130 kilometres/hour, with higher gusts. Earl became the season’s second hurricane, after Danielle, around 8:00 pm Atlantic Standard Time (EST) on Tuesday.

The quickly organising category one storm is expected to further strengthen in the coming days to become the 2022 season’s first major hurricane as it passes just southeast of Bermuda as early as Thursday night.

“On the forecast track, the centre of Earl is expected to pass to the southeast of Bermuda late Thursday and Thursday night. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Earl is expected to become a major hurricane late Thursday or Thursday night,” the NHC said in its 5:00 tropical weather bulletin.

Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning Thursday afternoon, with Earl expected to produce rainfall amounts of one-to-two inches across Bermuda through Friday.

What’s more, swells generated by Earl are expected to reach Bermuda by tonight. According to NHC sleuths, these swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through Friday.

Hurricane-force winds associated with Earl extend outward up to 65 kilometres from its centre, while tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 kilometres.

Indicative of an active peak, Hurricane Danielle has restrengthened further north, but an incremental decline is the only outlook for its future as of tomorrow.

As at 9:00 am Greenwich Meridian Time (GMT), the centre of Hurricane Danielle was located near latitude 43.4 North and longitude 38.1 West—or roughly 1,110 kilometres northwest of The Azores.

While Danielle poses no direct threat to land at this time, it is moving northeast at 22 kilometres/hour and packs maximum sustained winds near 130 kilometres/hour, with higher gusts.

“A slow counterclockwise turn is forecast Friday and early Saturday, followed by a turn toward the south-southeast to southeast over the weekend. A gradual weakening is forecast to commence on Thursday,” the NHC advised.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 55 kilometres from Danielle’s centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 280 kilometres.

In the meantime, NHC meteorologists are actively tracking two disturbances in the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

The first system, a low-pressure area several hundred kilometres west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce a large area of disorganised showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system over the next couple of days, according to the hurricane watchdog, with a tropical depression potentially forming over this period while it moves west to west-northwestward at a brisk 32 kilometres/hour over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

The odds of further intensification are “medium” at 60 per cent over the next two and five days respectively.

Just near the west African coast is a tropical wave, which the NHC forecasts “to emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic over the next day or so”.

“Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic,” the agency said.

Formation chances over the next five days are listed as “low” at 30 per cent.

As reported by Our Today on Tuesday, the next two available names in the 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season are Fiona and Gaston.

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